‏Spatial Data-Driven Traffic Flow Prediction Using Geographical Information System

Document Type : Regular Article

Authors

1 M.Sc. Student in Geographic Information Systems, Department of Civil Engineering, Shahid Rajaee Teacher Training University, Tehran, Iran

2 Assistant Professor in Surveying Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Shahid Rajaee Teacher Training University, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Today, traffic is one of the biggest problems of urban management. There are two general methods for traffic management, soft and hard methods. In the hard method, physical changes are applied to the road network, and in the soft method, the existing conditions are optimized. Traffic forecasting is one of the soft methods for traffic management. Traffic forecasting is usually done based on the time of existing traffic conditions, while the effect of location and neighborhood, which is one of the concepts of GIS science, is less seen in predictions. In this research, variables affecting traffic were first identified. Then, five machine learning methods were used to predict traffic on all city roads. KNN method was selected as the best one with accuracy and Kappa of 96.14% and 0.95 respectively. Finally, the prediction map was prepared by applying the superior model and Geographic Information System (GIS). One of the advantages of the traffic prediction map is easy for users and administrators to manage traffic.

Highlights

  • Data-driven decision making algorithm can generate traffic prediction map using GIS.
  • Traffic prediction is one of the basic management solutions for traffic control.
  • Due to a large amount of data, it is necessary to use various techniques to find a pattern for traffic prediction.
  • KNN method is best method to predict traffic.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

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History

  • Receive Date: 08 June 2022
  • Revise Date: 27 April 2023
  • Accept Date: 19 May 2023
  • First Publish Date: 19 May 2023

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